Cardano's (ADA) long-awaited Vasil update went live on Sept. 22, which promises to make its blockchain more scalable and cheaper than before. However, this has failed to bring bullish momentum to the ADA market.
Sell-the-news hampers Cardano
ADA bulls’ muted reaction to the successful Vasil update is similar to what transpired across the Ether (ETH) piata after Ethereum’s Merge.
Cu alte cuvinte, a cumpara zvonul, vinde stirile event, resembling most of Cardano’s previous hard forks, which have a history of preceding ADA price crashes, as shown below.
In addition, macro risks led by a very hawkish Federal Reserve also weighed down ADA’s bullish expectations post-Vasil.
The U.S. central bank’s decision to raise its benchmark rates by another 0.75% came within 48 hours before the Cardano update. ADA fell alongside risk-on assets in response, given its consistent positive correlation with stocks throughout 2022.
As of Sept. 26, the correlation coefficient between the Cardano token and the Nasdaq Composite was 0.83.
ADA price eyes 40% crash
Meanwhile, ADA’s technicals are painting a descending triangle pattern for a bearish outlook in the near term.
Related: Charles Hoskinson și dezvoltatorul ETH intră într-un război al cuvintelor după modernizarea Vasil
Theoretically, a descending triangle in a downtrend acts as a bearish continuation signal, meaning it resolves after the price breaks below its support trendline decisively. In doing so, the price falls by as much as the maximum triangle height.
Therefore, a breakdown below ADA’s triangle support of $0.41 could have its price crash toward $0.25. In other words, a 40% price decline by the end of 2022.
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Source: https://cointelegraph.com/news/cardano-bulls-run-out-of-steam-after-vasil-hard-fork-40-ada-price-crash-in-play