Prețurile Altcoinului au revenit pentru scurt timp, dar valorile derivatelor prevăd o înrăutățire a condițiilor

On May 12, the total crypto market capitalization reached its lowest close in 10 months and the metric continues to test the $1.23 trillion support level. However, the following seven days were reasonably calm while Bitcoin (BTC) gained 3.4% and Ether (ETH) added a modest 1.5%. Presently, the aggregate crypto cap stands at $1.31 trillion.

Valoarea totală a pieței cripto, miliarde USD. Sursa: TradingView

Ripples from Terra’s (LUNA) collapse continue to impact crypto markets, especially the industria financiară descentralizată. Moreover, the recent decline in traditional markets has led to a loss of $7.6 trillion in market cap from the Nasdaq Stock Market Index, which is higher than the dot-com bubble and the March 2020 sell-offs.

On May 17, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed their intention to suppress inflation by raising interest rates but he cautioned that the Fed’s tightening movement could impact the unemployment rate.

The bearish sentiment spilled to crypto markets and the “Fear and Greed Index,” a data-driven sentiment gauge, hit 8/100 on May 17. This is the metric’s lowest value since March 28, 2020, two weeks after the generalized crash that sent oil futures to negative levels and brought Bitcoin (BTC) sub 4,000 USD.

Below are the winners and losers from the past seven days. While the two leading cryptocurrencies presented modest gains, a handful of mid-capitalization altcoins rallied 15% or higher.

Câștigători și învinși săptămânali printre primele 80 de monede. Sursa: Nomics

Monero (XMR) rallied 22% as investors awaited the “tail emission” to be implemented at block 2,641,623 or sometime around June 4. The community hotărât to include a 0.6 XMR minimum reward in every block, so miners are not 100% reliant on transaction fees.

Cosmos (ATOM) gained 16.5%, a movement that seems a part of a broader retracement that started on May 12 when ATOM fell to its eleven-month low near $8. It is worth noting that its parent chain, Cosmos Hub, witnessed massive capital outflows from its liquidity pools, according to reporting from Cointelegraph.

Klaytn (KLAY), a blockchain-backed by South Korean internet giant Kakao, announced on May 16 that it would provide infrastructure, and initial nodes, and develop early use cases for the Blockchain-based Service Network (BSN), providing an entry into the Chinese market

Tether premium prezintă un ușor disconfort

Legatura OKX (USDT) premium este un bun indicator al cererii de cripto-comercianți cu amănuntul din China. Măsoară diferența dintre tranzacțiile peer-to-peer (P2P) din China și dolarul american.

Excessive buying demand tends to pressure the indicator above fair value at 100% and during bearish markets, Tether’s market offer is flooded and causes a 4% or higher discount.

Tether (USDT) peer-to-peer vs. USD/CNY. Sursa: OKX

The Tether premium peaked at 5.4% on May 12, its highest level in more than six months, but the movement could have been related to the Terra ecosystem’s massive outflows, which were mainly the USD Terra (UST) stablecoin.

More recently, the indicator showed a modest deterioration as it currently holds a 1.8% discount. The lack of retail demand is not especially concerning because the total cryptocurrency market capitalization lost 34% in the past month.

Altcoin futures reflect disinterest in leverage

Contractele perpetue, cunoscute și sub denumirea de swap invers, au o rată încorporată care este taxată de obicei la fiecare opt ore. Bursele utilizează această taxă pentru a evita dezechilibrele riscului de schimb.

O rată de finanțare pozitivă indică faptul că long-urile (cumpărătorii) solicită mai mult efect de pârghie. Cu toate acestea, situația opusă apare atunci când scurt-urile (vânzătorii) necesită un efect de pârghie suplimentar, determinând ca rata de finanțare să devină negativă.

Rata de finanțare futures perpetuă acumulată la 20 mai. Sursa: Coinglass

Perpetual contracts are reflecting mixed sentiment as Bitcoin and Ethereum hold a slightly positive (bullish) funding rate, but altcoins signal the opposite. For example, Solana’s (SOL) negative 0.35% weekly rate equals 1.5% per month, which is not a concern for most derivatives traders.

Considering that derivatives indicators are showing little improvement, there’s a lack of trust from investors as the total crypto market capitalization battles to keep the $1.23 trillion support. Until this sentiment improves, the odds of an adverse price movement remain high.

Opiniile și opiniile exprimate aici sunt doar cele ale autor și nu reflectă neapărat părerile lui Cointelegraph. Fiecare mișcare de investiții și tranzacționare implică risc. Ar trebui să efectuați propria cercetare atunci când luați o decizie.